Weekly Market Update Apr. 9/21

The prices for homes in Edmonton are getting crazy! The new OSFI stress test tightening is good news for Edmonton. It's not healthy how fast home values are climbing. We saw what happened starting in 2008 when prices soared 50% the prior 18 months. This will slow the growth, and hopefully make the market healthier longer term to avoid a crash.

Though overall I don't think it will change much in Edmonton, as it mostly impacts houses over $1 million, as there is no mortgage insurance available for those. And then tighter stress test is for homes without CMHC insurance. It might impact larger homes in great neighbourhoods though out Edmonton

They had to do something or rents in southern Ontario will double when Covid-19 blows over. Can't keep on taking in immigrants if their rent is more than their gross yearly income. Unfortunately the new stress test will just push everything at the low end up to $999,999 in price even studio apartments in Toronto.

What will happen is the buyer will approach the seller and offer a cash donation equal to the amount the house is priced over $999,999, and sign the contract for the selling price of $999,999.
There are always ways around the moronic laws.

And like always, the politicians are too stupid to realize this will affect all of Canada negatively and probably won't have much impact at all on Vancouver and Toronto house prices.

What’s the proposed stress test change?

What’s the proposed stress test change?

You have to show you can carry a mortgage at 5.25 percent effective this June the 1st. That's a lot of income in a year.

Did some reading- it’s just an increase in the stress test for non insured mortgages, not a new application. From what I read it could potentially reduce the max borrowing you 4%. Might have some effect on the most stretched of Non-CMHC-insured borrowers.

Probably not a huge deal.

Re: Probably not a huge deal.

The average new home in southern Ontario is around the 2 million dollar mark and is gaining around $100,000 every week. The new stress test will chop about $200,000 off the selling price assuming everyone is leveraged to the hilt or max. .An increase from 4.79 percent to 5.25 percent is almost 10 percent. A huge spike is prices of around 20 percent will be seen from April 13th to May 31st. A 20 percent increase all in about a 6 week span pushing the average new home price beyond the 2.5 million dollar mark. From there an air pocket will hit prices as America is supposed to have everyone vaccinated by the end of May. Its not just a coincidence this comes into affect June the 1st Mortgage rates to spike upwards starting June the 1st as Canadian rates follow American interest rates.

Budget day got pushed forward to April 19th.