Here is our update on the Edmonton real estate market. (Previous week’s numbers are in brackets). For the past 7 days: New Listings: 415 (447, 421, 524) # Sales: 192 (195, 194, 224) Ratio: 46% (44%, 46%, 43%) # Price Changes: 436 (431, 375, 425) # Expired/Off Market Listings: 262 (328, 280, 711) Net loss/gain in listings this week: -39 (-76, -53, -411) Active single family home listings: 4227 (4241, 4257, 4272) Active condo listings: 2458 (2463, 2482, 2510) Homes 4-week running average: $427 ($430k, $426k, $430k) Condos 4-week running average: $223k ($230k, $235k, $237k) An interesting report came out this week from CMHC, showing there is high evidence of overbuilding in Edmonton, with an elevated level of inventory of unsold, completed new detached homes. Unabsorbed inventory of new row house and apartment units has decreased and is moving towards a more balanced state due to a declining number starts and recent employment growth among young adults. Meanwhile, mortgage rates are on the rise as the Bank of Canada raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points for the fifth consecutive time. Have a great weekend! Posted by Liv Real Estate on
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Condo market seems to be in a free fall. I wonder what vacancy rates are. This could present a good opportunity for investors to buy and look for renters?

Posted by smitty on Thursday, October 25th, 2018 at 11:15pm

I'm not sure how many renters there are. Notley has really slowed down hiring in recent months, which is going to really hurt Edmonton's economy. Hopefully it will pick up again soon after the election, which I feel is our only hope for the housing market. With the rate we're building more houses, employment (let's face it, mostly government hiring) will need to increase at 8% annually in perpetuity to just maintain current prices. In 2016 it was growing at around that rate, but it has slowed down, as I mentioned, in recent months to around 3%.

Hopefully Kenney isn't interested in slowing down government hiring, or Edmonton is in a lot of trouble. Condo prices have already plunged from $250,000 to $220,000 in recent months, and my analysis shows that if Kenney were to freeze government hiring for a few years, with the new condo supply coming online, we could be looking at condo prices falling another 35- 40%.

Posted by Tom on Friday, October 26th, 2018 at 12:01am

Sounds good I vote for him.

Posted by Andrii on Friday, October 26th, 2018 at 1:45am

GM, how do you figure? There are so many government workers in Edmonton, how would slowing the rate of growth help our housing market?

Posted by Tom on Friday, October 26th, 2018 at 9:21pm

Meanwhile, in Calgary...

Posted by GM on Saturday, October 27th, 2018 at 5:25am

Less government will result in a booming economy.

Posted by GM on Saturday, October 27th, 2018 at 7:50am


Edmonton, being a government town, is doing much better employment-wise than Calgary. But we are building too much. We need some sort of 'green belt' to slow growth of housing.

Posted by tom on Sunday, October 28th, 2018 at 7:32am

Not sure if Sarah can respond but maybe it’s primarily high end homes and condo sellers who are getting very concerned w rising interest rates which is really affecting the average and median price. IMO it seems to me that rents for lower end and moderately priced condos have been firming up since 2016. Bwalk reit shows vacancy rates moving downward In Edmonton’s according to their latest earnings release.

Posted by Curtis on Thursday, November 1st, 2018 at 2:00am

Hey Curtis,
I think everyone who is trying to get a mortgage or renew a mortgage would be concerned with rising interest rates. I don't really follow rental rates, other than the report released by CMHC so I can't really comment on that.

Posted by Sara MacLennan on Thursday, November 1st, 2018 at 8:44pm

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